8.07.2008

Warren Ellis - Crooked Little Vein

Okay not a huge comic book reader of Ellis's work but he is a comic book writer so I'll give him a chance. Plus I believe he gave away his first chapter and that really hooked me. The opening read is so wacky and crazy I just had to see where it went. Well where it went was the underbelly of American sexual deviance. Crazy all around, great characters, and frankly by the time it was all done you just have to shake your head and say, yikes and why! Not for everyone good wacky story.

8.06.2008

Haiku Wednesday

School

The end of Summer
Yellow buses, homework blues
The backpacks march on

8.05.2008

Haruki Murakami - Blind Willow, Sleeping Woman

I belive for the most part this is the first book I have ever read that wasn't originally written in English...my question then is what is lost?  Don't think I will run out and learn Japanese but it does make you wonder what might get lost in translation.  Interesting stories, what I thought was most  interesting was that most of them made me feel a bit edgy.  His style is very visual or at least the way he crafts his stories there is a very visual feel to them.  I like two stories the most.  The one about the piano tuner who runs into a woman who learned she has breast cancer and the piano tuner reaches out to his long lost sister to only learn that she does too.

Also thought the the line about all men have three notable girlfriends in there lives was interesting.  I will have to pick up one of his longer fictional works and see how it is for a long story.


8.04.2008

Rox Talk

A 3-4 week against the Pirates and Marlins. Tough up and down week, but did conclude the road trip with a winning record which is good. With about 2 months to go and 49 games left the Roxs have to go 30 - 19 to get to .500 and 32 - 17 to get to 83 wins (my projection? or was it 85 wins?). Anyway not impossible but with a lot of games left against the division, which we seem to have difficult winning against it will be tough. We do have 28 games at home which helps and with 7 games against the Nats, 3 against the Reds, 3 against the Astros, and a series in Atlanta. Maybe 30 - 19 isn't too tough to get to? The Roxs currently stand at 51-62. Seven games back from division leading D-backs in third place. Currently 31-22 at home and 20-40 on the road, the Roxs have been outscored by its opponents 523-578 (expected wins is 51 versus historical wins at 52). On pace for 73 wins with 750 runs scored and 829 runs against.

Weekly WPA leaders (overall as well):
No movement on the trade front..








8.01.2008

This Week in Comics

Ultimate Spider-Man #124
It's the Ultimate Beetle! The War of the Symbiotes continues with the Beetle trying to steal the black stuff. Couple of weird flash backs, it would seem our favorite spider is possibly sick? A future plot point? Stay tune our arachnid lovers. It would seem things are picking up once again...the art in this book is really super. Bendis just nails the wise cracks. Good stuff.

7.31.2008

Random Nonsense

Slow week, traveling haven't really been up to much, so it is random post day...

Pulled this screen shot off the new Forced Unleashed trailer. Thought it was a bit risque for the Lucas crowd. Guess they think that a little T&A will go a long way with the video game crowd...of course if they could just make a good game.
While looking for some E.R. Burroughs ebooks (public domain stuff) couldn't find his Venus stuff here but wikipedia indicated that the copyright has expired in Australia and that you could get books there...hmmm (found Gone With the Wind, too) and we wonder why the whole DRM, who owns what, and copyright seems to be all messed up...
Read alot about Twitter but frankly what does it do for you. Do we all have time just to write little snippets about our life...bigger question is who cares?
Forget Olivia Munn what about Blair Butler?
Why does the new Clone Wars movie look and feel so much better than the Episodes I, II, and III?
You know I was trying to find a webpage to explain how the different dice work in D&D and you know I can't find anything...what is up with that?
Nostalgia for the week...I downloaded Top Gun and Purple Rain off of iTunes!
And with that note I am outta of here

7.30.2008

Haiku Wednesday

Heat

Scorching rays of sun
Shimmering on the blacktop
Sweating hot to touch

7.29.2008

Pitches = Run

A couple of weeks ago I was listening to the Rockies radio broadcast team, Jeff and Jack, and Jack Corigan made the statement that basically said that as your (i.e. the pitcher) pitch count increases in the inning the more likely a run is going to be scored. From the sound of this it made me go hmmm. Two questions immediately popped up...1) is this true (logically you would think yes) and 2) what is on average the amount of pitches thrown in an inning that would allow a single run?

Well off to baseball reference where on their box score page they show the amount of pitches thrown in an inning along with the number of runs. By taking this data and plotting the number of pitches per inning, the runs scored for that number of pitches, and annotating in a running log how often this number of pitches occur in an inning, I was able to come up with the number of pitches thrown in 2008 by Rockies pitchers and what is the average number of pitches thrown to allow for one run in an inning (i.e., a 12 pitch inning occurred 81 times and a total of 12 runs were scored when 12 pitches were thrown in an inning or a rate of 0.12 runs). This is through Game 108 and I am missing about 7 runs (end of the season I will go back and tighten this up).


Graphically all this data looks like this:
This first plot shows the number of pitches versus the total runs. The size of the circle indicates how often this number of pitches were thrown. The next plot shows the distribution which indicates that 12 and 13 pitches were thrown in an inning approximately 161 times or accounting for about 17% of the total innings pitched..

The final plot shows the rate at which runs are scored. So for instance 26 pitches in an inning occurred 17 times and a total of 32 runs were scored. Thus giving a rate of 1.88 runs scored when 26 pitches are thrown. If you plot this rate you get this...

A relatively nice curve that has a Rsquare of about 0.79 (if you throw out two of the outliers you get upwards of 0.86). If you take the equation and solve for 1 you get approximately 20.6 pitches.

So there you have it...it does appear has you throw more pitches in an inning the likely of runs being scored increases. Follow on questions would be 1) what would the major league curve look like accounting for every pitch? and 2) could you establish pitcher effectiveness based on this (i.e., Cook has thrown 2,134 pitches this year, divided by 20.6 would indicate he should have given up 104 runs but presently he is at 64 allowed also he has averaged 13.9 pitches an inning which would equate to a rate of 0.47 runs per inning, he's pitched 154 innings so that equates to about 72 runs...)

7.28.2008

Rox Talk

A 5-1 week with a sweep of the Reds and 2 of 3 from the Dodgers (which by the way is kind of a dumb name for a baseball team). The offense seems to be clicking on all cylinders. Of course playing the likes of the Pirates and Reds isn't exactly like facing the good teams. The Roxs currently stand at 48-58. Six games back from division leading D-backs in third place. Currently 31-22 at home and 17-36 on the road, the Roxs have been outscored by its opponents 495-539 (expected wins is 49 versus historical wins at 49). On pace for 73 wins with 757 runs scored and 824 runs against.


Weekly WPA leaders (overall as well):



Baker has been an animal the last two weeks and U-ball too. These two have thrown the Roxs on their backs and said let's make a run. With 56 games to go (6 back), do the Roxs have enough time to catch the D-bags? Starting pitching has been good. The last two weeks have seen the offense go into overdrive and the relief corps has been shutting teams down. Lots of games against the teams ahead of us. Will there be time? My guess is that the trade deadline will come and go and the Roxs will stand pat. Maybe Atkins will be dealt for a pitcher? It would allow Stewart to take over third and Baker a permanent spot at first until of if Helton comes back. Taveras would be a good throw in too as I believe Spilborghs and Fowler could take over center. An exciting time in baseball!


7.25.2008

This Week in Comics

Uncanny X-men #500
Not quite the issue I was looking forward too. Very disjointed and not really a celebration issue at all. More of a lead in. Lots of pages but it really looked like it was done by two authors and two artists and Marvel just kind of threw it together. Kind of lame appearance by a robotic Magneto. Come on with a milestone issue like this make it a bang don't just bring out the same old! Only thing going for all of this is is that the next storyline looks good.
Daredevil #108
Dakota shot! Oh no can this be the end of our third rate superless power heroine? Will Daredevil save her or will she be secreted away and given a lease on life. Does she become the new Bullseye? I jest but sometimes I wish someone would just write outlandish stuff!







New Avengers #43
I love the backstory stuff but in 15 years will anyone be able to pick this book up and figure out what the heck is going on in these past couple of issues. I mean talking about a continuity headache. I wish Secret Invasion came out every 2 weeks. A 6 month event just ruins the other books.