Taken from Dan Fox's website, "...when the Rockies stood at 77-72 their odds of reaching the playoffs using BP's (Baseball Prospectus) post season odds report was in fact 1.82% or 54:1. That marked the third most unlikely comeback with 20 or fewer games to play in history behind only the 1964 Cardinals (1.26% with 13 games to play) and the 1934 Cardinals (1.16% with 15 to play). He also points out that their odds were at 1.46% when their record stood at 18-27 on May 21st and was only 4.4% after their loss to the Diamondbacks on September 28th. In fact, Silver notes that what's so impressive about the Rockies season is that "they were never, not for one day, greater than even-money to make the playoffs until they actually did."In accord with that simulation, from a historical perspective, through 2006 there were 988 teams that found themselves with an 18-27 record or worse at some point in the season and only 13 of those (1.3%) had reached postseason play."
So basically the Roxs had a low probability of even making the playoffs and so then you would have to say their chances to advance were nil...and that is why we play the games. The Roxs swept the NDLS in 3 games and looked good doing it. See game by game synopsis.
Overall WPA leaders for the Roxs during the NLDS:
Big surprise was the lack of offensive and the importance of pitching. Holliday, Helton, and Tulo really didn't do much. The bullpen worked overtime and did some major work. Matsui and Torrealba were the offensive. Hopefully our bats wake up for the next series. Interesting statistic of note...not only did the Roxs have the 2nd best record next to the Yankees since late May they also had the best ERA since the All Star break. Pretty impressive!
Finally I have decided that if I could try one thing it would be hitting a walk off game winning home run in the playoffs....see below
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