Colorado Rockies - Week 15

A 1 -2 short week for the Roxs as they prepare to do battle in the second half. Still comfortably in 4th place. The Roxs currently stand at 45 - 46. Currently 26-19 at home and 19-27 on the road, the Roxs have been outscored 442-450 (expected wins is 45 versus historical wins at 42). On pace for 80 wins. Another auspicious start to the road trip. Another tough close loss but a good win. Another 7 games ahead. I (like many other Rox fans) have often wondered if the July meltdown is a truism or just circumstance. Below is a graph of the Roxs win percentage in each of the months they have played.













Over the years they have played 0.423 baseball in July totally 161 wins to 220 losses. So graphically there is a bit of a drop but they also don't play all that well in May either. Notice what they do when it hasn't matter and the Broncos are in full swing. If the Roxs could get into contention now then traditionally they play well in August/September.

First half expectations? Well WPA states that Hawpe, Matsui, and Tulo have led the way with Francis anchoring the Mound. What did the stat experts think back in March/April? Using the predictions of Chone, ZiPS, Marcels, and the Forecaster and averaging these gives the first column (expected wins 83). Next is after 82 games and then projecting these to 162 games (projected wins is 76). Well Helton needs to score more runs as well as Atkins. Matsui and Hawpe are playing well and Tulo is kicking butt. Cook is having a disastrous first half and Francis and especially Lopez are helping out.










Roxs graphical wins (home in Purple, away in grey)


Weekly WPA leaders:















Season WPA leaders: